0x8ca52525b1489e506b9dd26c8553c0d9adf9f424
0x8ca52525b1489e506b9dd26c8553c0d9adf9f424
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$2.02
Total PnL
$-34.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 19.4¢·now 10.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
- NO
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
SpaceX IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.03Jun 13, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Jun 13, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Jun 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$1.08Jun 12, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.07Jun 12, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.07Jun 12, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$0.90Jun 12, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$0.18Jun 12, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?$1.07Jun 12, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$2.14Jun 12, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$1.07Jun 12, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$0.45Jun 12, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$0.62Jun 12, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?$1.60Jun 12, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?$1.07Jun 12, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$1.07Jun 12, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$1.07Jun 12, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$2.14Jun 12, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$1.07Jun 12, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$1.07Jun 12, 18:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 16:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.