0x8ca75070eb7267da31993cafcfd2d807d68c6634
0x8ca75070eb7267da31993cafcfd2d807d68c6634
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$7.00
Total PnL
$-226.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$5.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,650 on September 14 at 8AM ET?
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
173 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-41.90
- YES
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?
104 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Iran Nuke in 2024?
102 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Phantom launch a token in 2025?
100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
9 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$4.00Dec 24, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 29?$7.00Dec 21, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter Airdrop on December 29?$6.39Dec 21, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$0.30Dec 18, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$1.00Dec 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 29?$20.00Dec 17, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$38.03Dec 6, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$2.03Dec 6, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phantom launch a token in 2025?$1.79Dec 6, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phantom launch a token in 2025?$0.31Dec 6, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$17.84Dec 6, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$60.00Dec 6, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$56.46Dec 5, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?$4.99Dec 5, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$12.00Dec 5, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$12.20Dec 5, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$12.40Dec 5, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.00Dec 5, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $250M committed to the Monad public sale?$51.25Nov 23, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $250M committed to the Monad public sale?$50.00Nov 22, 22:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $21.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 08:13 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 24, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".