0x8ca7d388fd0d82787eb69c19a8090aba151f98d1
0x8ca7d388fd0d82787eb69c19a8090aba151f98d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$6.15
Total PnL
$-235.34
Realised
$-17.92
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
535 shares @ 5.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.15
$-25.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "un x100to" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
603 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will "Neverita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
360 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
306 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-63.05
- YES
Will "La Jumpa" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
296 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$32.87Jun 10, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$27.39May 19, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$10.86May 19, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$26.63May 19, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$26.78May 7, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$20.89Apr 10, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$25.00Mar 15, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$10.00Mar 15, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$55.89Mar 8, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$30.74Mar 8, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.67Mar 1, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$4.00Mar 1, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$10.00Feb 22, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$20.00Feb 21, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$20.00Feb 21, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$5.30Feb 21, 00:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $99.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 01:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.