Flaky-Promise
0x8cad4e80cfdec07702cfc3f319d9d05f805459d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-133.92
Realised
$2.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 22?
1980 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 19?
495 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23?
330 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 21?
100 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-15.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 24?
86 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-9.79
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 23?
74 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 24?
62 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
58 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-9.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 24?
49 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-19.59
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?
46 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 24?$4.84Nov 24, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 24?$9.69Nov 24, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?$19.76Nov 23, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 24?$2.06Nov 23, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 24?$4.95Nov 23, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 24?$9.90Nov 23, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?$6.50Nov 23, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 23?$3.46Nov 23, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $14.85Nov 23, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$18.10Nov 23, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 23?$1.98Nov 22, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?$6.25Nov 22, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 22?$1.98Nov 22, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 22?$4.95Nov 22, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23?$4.95Nov 22, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 21?$2.96Nov 21, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 21?$9.11Nov 21, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 21?$12.14Nov 20, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?$37.85Nov 20, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?$2.97Nov 20, 16:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $8.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 03:07 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 24, 05:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".