0x8cad9b0eeeaeb69e28b2b4bacac4842b93212d54
0x8cad9b0eeeaeb69e28b2b4bacac4842b93212d54
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$25.38
Total PnL
$-23.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
20 shares @ 71.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.87
$5.63
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$2.52
$0.04
- NO
Will Conor McGregor fight Charles Oliveira next?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 82.2¢·exp Mar 1, 2027$1.22
$-0.17
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.07
$0.03
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
10 shares @ 18.9¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.71
$-1.16
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
232 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.59
- YES
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
7 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.31
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$0.00Mar 8, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.12Mar 8, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.01Mar 7, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.03Mar 7, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.01Mar 7, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.00Mar 7, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$0.06Mar 7, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$1.04Mar 7, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor fight Charles Oliveira next?$1.39Mar 7, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$1.87Mar 7, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? $2.48Mar 7, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYChatGPT Outage by March 15?$3.31Mar 7, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$4.41Mar 7, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$4.95Mar 7, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$4.95Mar 7, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$4.95Mar 7, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$4.95Mar 7, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$4.95Mar 7, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$4.95Mar 7, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$4.95Mar 7, 17:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $2.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".