Outlandish-Change
0x8cafdc19c24e71c68c96a876183d8a6078531353
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-65.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
1871 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-738.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
1590 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-568.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
464 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-225.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
456 shares @ 64.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-294.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
428 shares @ 55.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-238.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
425 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-157.91
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 16?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
52 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$749.17Jan 27, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$229.07Jan 27, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$107.37Jan 27, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$80.52Jan 27, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$200.00Jan 27, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.56Jan 27, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$122.22Jan 27, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$100.00Jan 27, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$182.81Jan 27, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$100.00Jan 27, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$299.03Jan 27, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$148.85Jan 27, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$254.86Jan 19, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$200.00Jan 19, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$297.74Jan 19, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$39.19Jan 19, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$459.95Jan 19, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$719.69Jan 19, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$142.09Jan 19, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$100.00Jan 19, 08:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $212.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 12:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 21:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".