Early-Kielbasa
0x8cb3847851a810eea254cdf97530959f0925b8ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-1.75
Realised
$10.78
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
501 shares @ 98.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$489.00
$-6.01
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
355 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$354.19
$0.18
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
236 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$236.13
$0.12
- NO
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
238 shares @ 99.3¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$230.65
$-5.35
- NO
Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?
224 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$222.56
$-0.78
- NO
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
119 shares @ 99.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$117.23
$-0.77
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.86
$0.03
- NO
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.55
$0.03
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
4 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.99
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$613.99Jun 13, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$495.55Jun 10, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?$23.03Jun 10, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$72.02Jun 8, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$9.21Jun 8, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$15.11Jun 8, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$251.58Jun 8, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$33.07Jun 8, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$38.88Jun 8, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.69Jun 8, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.45Jun 8, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.99Jun 8, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$50.58Jun 8, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$9.97Jun 8, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$11.12Jun 8, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.99Jun 8, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$14.04Jun 8, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$118.12Jun 8, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$118.12Jun 8, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$118.12Jun 8, 12:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $49.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 02:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.