Dirty-Emitter
0x8cba43636dbaa4f5a495bdc23320bcf5be109abe
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-70.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
67374 shares @ 86.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-58.4K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
8780 shares @ 66.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.9K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
3106 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?
2381 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
2375 shares @ 65.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
1936 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-266.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
1845 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-965.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
1099 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-428.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
996 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-498.04
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$50.57Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$85.98Jun 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.80Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$35.3KJun 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$410.06Jun 11, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.73Jun 11, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.9KJun 11, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.5KJun 11, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.50Jun 11, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.1KJun 11, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.0KJun 11, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.5KJun 11, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.3KJun 11, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$17.3KJun 11, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.9KJun 11, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$725.67Jun 11, 11:13 UTC
- YIELD$2.03Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$2.03Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.27Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.6KJun 8, 07:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $13.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.