Every-Crumb
0x8cbd0cd59c3154f08cfa2358bf9ac30231b1e8e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-138.85
Realised
$10.36
Win rate
57%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 7?
1129 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 12?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 17?
835 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 3?
805 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 26?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.69
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 21?
588 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.33
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24?
512 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 6?
500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.11
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 7?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 13?
261 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 10?$0.00Apr 13, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 12?$0.15Apr 12, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 12?$0.43Apr 12, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 12?$0.03Apr 12, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 12?$0.03Apr 12, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 12?$0.02Apr 12, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 12?$0.03Apr 12, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 12?$0.03Apr 12, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 12?$0.03Apr 12, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 12?$1.05Apr 12, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 12?$0.74Apr 12, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 12?$1.00Apr 12, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 12?$1.50Apr 12, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 12?$0.16Apr 12, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 12?$0.64Apr 12, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 12?$0.16Apr 12, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 12?$0.52Apr 12, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 12?$0.52Apr 12, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 12?$1.42Apr 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 12?$0.08Apr 12, 02:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 04:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 07:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.