Lighthearted-Cradle
0x8cbd3426350813051d24da5a30c4420060b9c8f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$22.47
Total PnL
$-297.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
8 shares @ 89.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.00
$0.82
- NO
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
8 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$7.80
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on March 15?
7 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$6.67
$0.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
200 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-102.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
200 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-95.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on March 15?$6.63Mar 14, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.75Mar 14, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$7.18Mar 14, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?$21.56Mar 14, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?$20.00Feb 4, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of January?$20.00Feb 4, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of January?$19.64Jan 15, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. 76ers$24.00Jan 15, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. 76ers$0.91Jan 15, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. 76ers$0.09Jan 15, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. 76ers$5.32Jan 15, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. 76ers$0.88Jan 15, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. 76ers$0.80Jan 15, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. 76ers$14.00Jan 15, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$199.96Jan 15, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$199.99Jan 15, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$200.00Jan 15, 01:29 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.89Jan 15, 00:09 UTC
- REWARD$1.21Jan 15, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$62.94Jan 14, 14:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $16.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 13:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 06:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".