Fixed-Mule
0x8cc5875b99e212a33c3917e3c417ada51db0a3cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$105.00
Total PnL
$12.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
35 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$35.00
$24.85
- YES
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
25 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$25.00
$12.00
- YES
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
25 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.00
$14.00
- YES
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$20.00
$1.80
- NO
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
410 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
45 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.48
- YES
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
20 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?
14 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
10 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$20.00Mar 11, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$7.80Jan 13, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.70Jan 8, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$18.20Jan 8, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$3.48Jan 8, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?$9.00Jan 8, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June? $5.00Jan 8, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$11.00Jan 8, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$5.40Jan 8, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$10.15Jan 8, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$1.31Jan 8, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$13.00Jan 8, 22:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $8.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 22:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 17:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".