Qualified-Enjoyment
0x8cd3ad149b3a705ccb3c297c48ba1d33e379289e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$14.91
Total PnL
$-3.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
13 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.46
$0.46
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$1.45
$0.45
- YES
China coup attempt in 2025?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 7?$1.00Dec 7, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?$1.00Dec 7, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina coup attempt in 2025?$1.00Oct 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$13.00Oct 13, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?$0.00Oct 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$2.00Jul 15, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?$1.00Jul 15, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Jul 15, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Mickey 17' gross less than 16m on its opening weekend?$3.07Jul 15, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$6.85Jul 15, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?$7.13Jul 15, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Mickey 17' gross less than 16m on its opening weekend?$3.00Mar 6, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill US add between 250k and 300k jobs in December 2024?$0.00Mar 6, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill US add between 100k and 150k jobs in December 2024?$2.33Mar 6, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill US add more than 300k jobs in December 2024?$2.63Mar 6, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US add more than 300k jobs in December 2024?$2.59Dec 26, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US add between 250k and 300k jobs in December 2024?$2.00Dec 26, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US add between 100k and 150k jobs in December 2024?$2.00Dec 26, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?$7.00Dec 26, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$5.00Dec 26, 20:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $84.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 20:40 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 7, 11:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.