Classic-Powder
0x8cd642e2b7fbdf20a57aa0f77eeeeb79556333e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$7.39
Total PnL
$-7.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 16.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.95
$3.35
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.32
$0.33
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $23m and $26m?
169 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $85m?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $29m?
150 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $26m and $29m?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
30 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$3.00Nov 24, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.02Nov 22, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Oct 31, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELL"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 45 and 59?$0.33Oct 23, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELL"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 45 and 59?$1.00Oct 22, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.35Oct 9, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.34Oct 8, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.30Oct 5, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.56Oct 2, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLElon no longer world's richest before 2026?$4.00Oct 2, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Oct 1, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Sep 29, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gabby's Dollhouse: The Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 29m?$1.02Sep 24, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.18Sep 24, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Sep 22, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.15Sep 20, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.04Sep 19, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.35Sep 18, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$0.79Sep 17, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.38Sep 17, 01:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 13, 05:58 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 24, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.