Fuzzy-Median
0x8ce3844e4e6c6cd1ae1cca72cfa88858ecbe8007
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$59.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2800 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
2796 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-750.00
- YES
Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI
2137 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-114.38
- YES
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
588 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?
321 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Trump fires campaign manager?
63 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$213.75Nov 2, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI $145.60Nov 2, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pennsylvania be the closest state? $68.15Nov 2, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pennsylvania be the closest state? $66.48Oct 31, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$450.00Oct 30, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$450.00Oct 30, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4$23.38Oct 30, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI $200.00Oct 30, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4$20.00Oct 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$40.00Oct 28, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$300.00Oct 28, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?$20.00Oct 28, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$300.00Oct 28, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$5.88Oct 16, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$59.97Sep 25, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "cat" during his Arizona rally?$0.00Sep 25, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "cat" during his Arizona rally?$5.00Sep 12, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$5.00Sep 11, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$5.00Sep 11, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$5.00Sep 11, 19:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $120.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 2, 23:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".