Serious-Poignance
0x8ce3b9f90a48680ab6af47137c0ee9e6c3b8c5d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$11.00
Total PnL
$-1.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Omnicom Group (OMC) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Edition
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will One Battle After Another be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Barcelona advance to the round of 16?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.95
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?$1.00Oct 15, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?$1.00Oct 15, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high before October?$2.86Oct 15, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMDodgers vs. Giants$3.45Oct 15, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$1.00Oct 5, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 5, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona advance to the round of 16?$1.00Oct 5, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?$1.00Oct 5, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition$1.00Oct 5, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Edition$1.00Oct 5, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by October 31?$1.00Oct 5, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Omnicom Group (OMC) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 5, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbott Laboratories (ABT) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 5, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Oct 5, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high before October?$1.00Jul 12, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDodgers vs. Giants$2.00Jul 12, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMGeorgescu banned from Romania election?$1.3KJul 10, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeorgescu banned from Romania election?$90.00Dec 9, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeorgescu banned from Romania election?$495.00Dec 9, 05:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $37.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 05:12 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 15, 14:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.