Similar-Medium
0x8ce5072123d92862c35c09b81a8c789c4c6fd936
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-311.42
Realised
$-10.73
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
35 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
28 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
14 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
10 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.82
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
8 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.61
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
8 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
8 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.45
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
7 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.02Aug 11, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.02Aug 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.02Aug 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.06Aug 11, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.47Aug 11, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.02Aug 11, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.02Aug 11, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.92Aug 11, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.03Aug 11, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.03Aug 11, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.02Aug 11, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$2.56Aug 11, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.04Aug 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.04Aug 11, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$2.22Aug 11, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.04Aug 11, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.41Aug 11, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.04Aug 11, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.28Aug 11, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.02Aug 11, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
68/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 11:06 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 15:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.