Alienated-Expectancy
0x8ce82698325e38a5a5ce187011b2f58e23c96abe
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?
78 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.56
- YES
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will U.S. GDP growth be between -1% and -2% in Q1 2025?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.10Mar 11, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$2.70Mar 11, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$11.63Mar 11, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?$1.27Apr 14, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1.27Apr 14, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?$3.29Apr 2, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$3.29Apr 2, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase announce tokenized $COIN in March?$0.00Apr 2, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$0.00Mar 28, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?$0.00Mar 28, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?$14.80Mar 18, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?$15.00Mar 18, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?$20.00Mar 16, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?$2.33Mar 15, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in March?$0.90Mar 15, 22:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 03:56 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 19:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.