0x8cecedf7e318bdeda5572fbce85b6c57c47f45a5
0x8cecedf7e318bdeda5572fbce85b6c57c47f45a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$52.56
Total PnL
$6.18
Realised
$3.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of February?
8 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$8.00
$4.96
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.5 and 36.0 million views on day 4?
7 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$7.00
$5.53
- YES
Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's State of the Union?
7 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.75
$5.13
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$6.59
$3.89
- YES
Will Chuck Schumer applaud during Trump's State of the Union?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.50
$1.56
- YES
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?
6 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.97
$2.15
- NO
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.56
$0.56
- NO
Rippling IPO before 2027?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- YES
Rippling IPO before 2027?
7 shares @ 21.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$-0.30
- NO
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?
10 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?$1.96Feb 25, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's State of the Union?$1.62Feb 25, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $208 in February?$1.14Feb 25, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?$1.20Feb 25, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,860 on the final trading day of February 2026?$4.95Feb 25, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?$4.50Feb 25, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?$0.48Feb 25, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?$6.75Feb 25, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?$3.50Feb 25, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chuck Schumer applaud during Trump's State of the Union?$4.94Feb 25, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of February?$3.04Feb 25, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?$4.50Feb 24, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35.5 and 36.0 million views on day 4?$1.47Feb 24, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,860 on the final trading day of February 2026?$4.77Feb 24, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $640 on February 24?$2.03Feb 24, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 24?$1.08Feb 24, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ketanji Brown Jackson attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$4.41Feb 24, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$4.99Feb 24, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$2.70Feb 24, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRippling IPO before 2027?$5.00Feb 23, 22:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 19:45 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".