Gray-Pioneer
0x8ced3cc312333d0e099a636ad85da69144678d48
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-231.74
Realised
$8.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1557 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-95.00
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?
483 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the New Hampshire Republican Primary?
370 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?
98 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.31
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
64 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
45 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.37
- NO
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- LIONS
49ers vs. Lions
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jesus make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?
37 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?$20.00Oct 16, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?$10.00Sep 24, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mr Mackey make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?$10.00Sep 24, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "China" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$12.82Sep 24, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$13.89Sep 24, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "God" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$15.87Sep 24, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$16.39Sep 24, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?$8.31Sep 23, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "October 7th" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$0.03Sep 23, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Vladimir" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$12.11Sep 23, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 2+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$10.00Sep 22, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Seven Wars" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$10.00Sep 22, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "October 7th" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$10.00Sep 22, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Vladimir" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$10.00Sep 22, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$10.00Sep 22, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$10.00Sep 22, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$10.00Sep 22, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "God" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$10.00Sep 22, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$10.00Sep 22, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?$25.00Sep 22, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $13.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 03:46 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 16, 21:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.