Cold-Verve
0x8cf4fba0156f9073a951061c8ba3878c8893fb32
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$19.78
Total PnL
$1.77
Realised
$4.41
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?
6 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$5.69
$0.09
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.75
$0.02
- NO
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
2 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$1.82
$0.01
- NO
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.31
$0.05
- NO
Trump out as President in 2025?
1 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $250 and $260 on October 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?
86 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.61
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?
10 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 27?$2.81Oct 29, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?$330.66Oct 29, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?$330.00Oct 28, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$336.17Oct 27, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$250.00Oct 27, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$80.00Oct 27, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,400 October 20-26?$1.01Oct 27, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.30Oct 27, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,400 October 20-26?$1.00Oct 26, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 27?$2.80Oct 26, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5400 in October?$5.00Oct 26, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$9.08Oct 26, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Israel by October 15?$1.50Oct 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$1.25Oct 12, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$1.81Oct 12, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token in 2025?$2.00Oct 12, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.40Oct 12, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?$2.79Oct 12, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?$3.00Oct 12, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $250 and $260 on October 12?$1.00Oct 12, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $35.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 14:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".