Forked-Highway
0x8cf94bf03983ba5c8295b06e8304cac8626507f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$13.33
Total PnL
$-235.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$2.56
$1.56
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.50
$0.50
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$2.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
1 shares @ 90.7¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
353 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$196.56Apr 9, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.00Mar 6, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$5.43Mar 6, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.00Mar 2, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$3.93Feb 28, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$2.00Feb 28, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$4.17Feb 28, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$7.11Feb 28, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$5.00Feb 28, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$11.00Feb 28, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$1.00Feb 22, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$1.00Feb 22, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$1.00Feb 21, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.08Feb 18, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 18, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$1.00Feb 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?$1.00Feb 18, 06:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 00:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.