Neat-Reflection
0x8cfc534e4aa792dbd88373edd26cd2b09ec1bb29
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$5.38
Total PnL
$-1.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
3 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$3.15
$0.15
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on November 21?
1 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$3.00Nov 21, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on November 21?$1.00Nov 21, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$1.71Nov 21, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMCurrent shutdown longest in U.S. history?$0.00Nov 21, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$2.00Oct 24, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$1.00Oct 24, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCurrent shutdown longest in U.S. history?$1.00Oct 24, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $126k in October?$1.61Oct 24, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,800 and $3,900 on October 20?$5.12Oct 24, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,800 and $3,900 on October 20?$5.00Oct 20, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.90Oct 3, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $126k in October?$1.00Oct 3, 11:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $1.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 3, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 21, 13:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".