Lively-Exercise
0x8cfcc6a4346eb4fb7cc88d32e5684c7c24283797
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
72
Open notional
$87.91
Total PnL
$-126.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- NO
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?
22 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$21.50
$9.03
- YES
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
21 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.74
$10.37
- NO
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$20.20
$6.06
- NO
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
19 shares @ 90.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$18.96
$1.85
- YES
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.00
$1.08
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.01
$-1.99
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2025?
666 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.94
- YES
Will Manchester City vs. Leeds United end in a draw?
279 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
128 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Rangers FC win on 2025-12-03?$3.27Dec 11, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$4.16Dec 11, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.11Dec 11, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?$32.50Dec 11, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-03?$1.00Dec 3, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-03?$1.58Dec 3, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Liverpool (-1.5)$1.00Dec 3, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?$1.00Dec 3, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?$1.00Dec 3, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLeeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5$1.00Dec 3, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 1.5$1.00Dec 3, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Million" or "Billion" 7+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?$1.00Dec 3, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Million" or "Billion" 7+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?$1.00Dec 3, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves win on 2025-12-03?$1.00Dec 3, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-03?$1.00Dec 3, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Team Water" at the NYT DealBook Summit?$3.12Dec 3, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$1.00Dec 3, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-03?$1.00Dec 3, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?$1.00Dec 3, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rangers FC win on 2025-12-03?$2.03Dec 3, 20:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 02:15 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 06:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".