Glum-Subscription
0x8d009282a7572026ec03f2dbd6e627ad7ac00121
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$187.50
Total PnL
$-44.54
Realised
$77.16
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will XLG Esports be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?
155 shares @ 45.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$38.73
$-30.99
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
220 shares @ 19.4¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$38.10
$-4.53
- NO
Will Rafael Fiziev fight Dan Hooker next?
77 shares @ 84.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2027$29.71
$-35.12
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
258 shares @ 6.7¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.95
$0.65
- NO
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?
21 shares @ 60.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$11.39
$-0.92
- YES
Will BBL Esports be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026?
24 shares @ 45.9¢·now 35.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.42
$-2.59
- YES
Will Erling Haaland score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
85 shares @ 18.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$7.22
$-8.07
- YES
Will Linda Noskova advance to the Semifinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?
24 shares @ 45.0¢·now 24.8¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$5.95
$-4.85
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
10 shares @ 20.4¢·now 57.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.71
$3.68
- YES
Will Erling Haaland score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
51 shares @ 24.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$3.83
$-8.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$32.41Jul 5, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$32.14Jul 5, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?$0.00Jul 5, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Semifinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?$0.00Jul 5, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$54.02Jul 5, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$53.57Jul 5, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$20.23Jul 5, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$24.32Jul 5, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$24.12Jul 5, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$20.05Jul 5, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 5, 3PM ET$5.00Jul 5, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 5, 3PM ET$33.41Jul 5, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$40.53Jul 5, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$43.21Jul 5, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$20.23Jul 5, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$42.82Jul 5, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$20.06Jul 5, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$40.19Jul 5, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$24.32Jul 5, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$29.40Jul 5, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $23.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 19:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 20:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.