Unhealthy-Roar
0x8d08cb532404752c46a92ed01e972a1a0bccc313
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$180.88
Win rate
86%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will David Belliard win the Paris mayor election?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
700 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-84.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
633 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-69.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
600 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-64.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
500 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
300 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
300 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-65.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
250 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
200 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.01Apr 16, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.88Apr 16, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.60Apr 16, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.69Apr 16, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.30Apr 16, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Apr 16, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.16Apr 16, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.01Apr 16, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.63Apr 16, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$3.00Apr 16, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$0.01Apr 15, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.05Apr 15, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$1.31Apr 15, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$1.37Apr 15, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 17:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 15:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 03:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.