Lovely-Interconnection
0x8d0930676d559cc8fb7d8af0c555791c1820143f
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
187
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-583.33
Win rate
25%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 187- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 4?
1442 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-12.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 30?
1341 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?
1233 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-326.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?
1160 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 30?
1000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 7?
1000 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-28.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 4?
974 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-15.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 22?
907 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 12?
906 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-24.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 10?$9.22Jul 10, 00:39 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$14.44Jul 9, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 9?$2.95Jul 9, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?$10.91Jul 9, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?$16.95Jul 9, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?$70.06Jul 9, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 9?$12.00Jul 9, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?$21.74Jul 9, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?$23.97Jul 9, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?$23.17Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?$8.40Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?$16.44Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on July 9?$5.66Jul 8, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 8?$1.84Jul 8, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 8?$1.09Jul 8, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 8?$6.70Jul 8, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 8?$1.00Jul 8, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C or higher on July 9?$7.42Jul 8, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 8?$15.64Jul 8, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 8?$20.35Jul 8, 02:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 59 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
59 closed markets, 25% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 02:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 00:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.