Soupy-Greatgrandmother-Robe
0x8d101520f2f22f53cdc4c54807169a0bdebc29e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-340.88
Realised
$26.49
Win rate
75%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 10?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 11?
1140 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10?
319 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 11?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12?
37 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 12?
34 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 10?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11?
28 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 10?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 15?$4.86Jun 15, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 15?$4.09Jun 15, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16?$4.09Jun 15, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 15?$7.67Jun 15, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 16?$5.78Jun 15, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 15?$8.01Jun 15, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 15?$1.34Jun 15, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 15?$3.11Jun 15, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 15?$2.08Jun 15, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 15?$3.11Jun 15, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 16?$6.22Jun 15, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16?$5.17Jun 15, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 15?$7.23Jun 15, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 15?$4.19Jun 15, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 15?$5.13Jun 15, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 15?$5.17Jun 15, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$20.51Jun 13, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13?$4.15Jun 12, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$1.04Jun 12, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13?$4.42Jun 12, 22:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 12:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.