Willing-Thread
0x8d1281a3c1aaab73da8febebedf51896129b7d66
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-74.88
Realised
$-1.92
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
15171 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-39.96
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
57 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
1 shares @ 74.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.44Jun 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.96Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.02Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.99Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.02Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.02Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.96Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.02Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.97Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.02Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.42Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.02Jun 13, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.03Jun 13, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.02Jun 13, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.81Jun 13, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.01Jun 13, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.97Jun 13, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.01Jun 13, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.19Jun 13, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.04Jun 13, 19:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 18:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.