Demanding-Kitchen
0x8d1595c25674ebe79e29e5031f5dcbe3abbf3d9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$17.10
Total PnL
$-102.20
Realised
$-13.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
89 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.49
$-1.51
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.20
$-3.80
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.78
$-2.22
- YES
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.66
$-1.34
- YES
Megaquake by September 30?
505 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-45.90
- YES
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
173 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.40
- YES
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?
70 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Megaquake by October 31?
57 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Megaquake by November 30?
35 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Mar 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 20, 01:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 19, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$10.00Mar 18, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$22.70Mar 18, 16:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 17, 01:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 16, 01:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 15, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 14, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 13, 00:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 12, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 11, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 10, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 7, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 4, 00:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $16.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 00:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.