Winding-Emerald
0x8d16e3de9d408052b90c86d120ee35a325c478f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-861.22
Realised
$-146.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
23000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
17000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-65.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
2954 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-239.43
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks on January 28?
2149 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during remarks on January 28?
1264 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Greenland" during remarks on January 28?
1218 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
656 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-209.50
- YES
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?
62 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-13.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Jan 28, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?$0.69Jan 28, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?$160.00Jan 28, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 28, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$60.00Jan 28, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Greenland" during remarks on January 28?$20.00Jan 28, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks on January 28?$40.00Jan 28, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during remarks on January 28?$100.00Jan 28, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$10.00Jan 28, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$9.00Jan 28, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$20.00Jan 28, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$60.00Jan 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$60.00Jan 28, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$60.00Jan 28, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$20.98Jan 28, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$3.00Jan 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$6.00Jan 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$3.00Jan 28, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.00Jan 28, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$12.00Jan 27, 22:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $70.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 22:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 21:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.