0x8d19d6d34d188a382f56166a621c90ee0fc2f4f0
0x8d19d6d34d188a382f56166a621c90ee0fc2f4f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-257.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Feds raid Jay-Z before April?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on May 19 at 5 PM ET?
265 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2025$0.00
$-113.95
- NO
Will Trump say "Child" during his University of Alabama commencement speech?
135 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2025$0.00
$-89.10
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?
95 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-38.95
- STEARNS
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs. Peyton Stearns
15 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.65
- YES
Will Trump announce tariffs on Australia on April 2?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Inflation" during his AI speech on July 23?
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will Trump say "Oz" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Inflation" during his AI speech on July 23?$1.40Jul 23, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ross Ulbricht say "FBI" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$1.30May 29, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Ulbricht say "FBI" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$1.25May 29, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on May 20 at 5 PM ET?$1.15May 20, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on May 20 at 5 PM ET?$1.00May 20, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on May 19 at 5 PM ET?$90.30May 19, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on May 19 at 5 PM ET?$23.65May 19, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Susan Crawford win by 6-8%?$115.00May 19, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs. Peyton Stearns$4.65May 15, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$4.80May 14, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$4.40May 14, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his May 13 interview?$2.55May 13, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his May 13 interview?$2.40May 13, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?$3.30May 12, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oz" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?$2.20May 12, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?$3.30May 12, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win on 2025-05-11?$5.00May 11, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-05-11?$3.45May 11, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Werder Bremen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?$5.00May 10, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Werder Bremen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?$1.25May 10, 05:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $19.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".