0x8d1f2425d03d1fbd6fe666974ea6b24d8dea771c
0x8d1f2425d03d1fbd6fe666974ea6b24d8dea771c
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-27.13
Realised
$-1.13
Win rate
0%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bitcoin above 64,200 on July 4, 9AM ET?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
7 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
3 shares @ 64.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.03Jul 22, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.35Jul 22, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.03Jul 22, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.04Jul 22, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.05Jul 13, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.52Jul 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.03Jul 13, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.15Jul 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.02Jul 13, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.04Jul 13, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$2.04Jul 13, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.05Jul 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.05Jul 13, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.14Jul 12, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.02Jul 12, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.08Jul 12, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.01Jul 12, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.23Jul 12, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.02Jul 12, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$2.00Jul 12, 10:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 04:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 18:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.