Outstanding-Ballot
0x8d2fe985386709a041c4567281ebdfa000a33dff
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-76.72
Realised
$13.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Trump say "Election" at Fort Bragg on Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Space Force" at Fort Bragg on Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Trump" at Fort Bragg on Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "World War II" at Fort Bragg on Friday?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ONION TEAM
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Onion Team (BO1) - Rift Legends Group Stage
230 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$6.64Mar 5, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$3.02Mar 5, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.46Mar 5, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$6.48Mar 5, 20:36 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.02Feb 16, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs$1.60Feb 15, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs$1.40Feb 15, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$3.44Feb 15, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$2.00Feb 15, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BOMBA Team vs Onion Team (BO1) - Rift Legends Group Stage$3.00Feb 15, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BOMBA Team vs Onion Team (BO1) - Rift Legends Group Stage$10.00Feb 15, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BOMBA Team vs Onion Team (BO1) - Rift Legends Group Stage$1.13Feb 15, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BOMBA Team vs Onion Team (BO1) - Rift Legends Group Stage$0.26Feb 15, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BOMBA Team vs Onion Team (BO1) - Rift Legends Group Stage$20.61Feb 15, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Kick-off Playoffs$14.90Feb 15, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Kick-off Playoffs$17.22Feb 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Kick-off Playoffs$1.87Feb 15, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Kick-off Playoffs$2.00Feb 15, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Kick-off Playoffs$1.13Feb 15, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Kick-off Playoffs$3.27Feb 15, 13:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 02:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 20:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".