Rotten-Gingerbread
0x8d32c5c600d5422e6c6b8cb433f67549d45bf958
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$154.55
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$17.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UNDER
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
185 shares @ 54.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$97.22
$-2.78
- YES
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
8819 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$57.32
$-92.66
- NO
Will Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?
1295 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-703.23
- YES
Will France vs. Ukraine end in a draw?
769 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
455 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
305 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-112.85
- YES
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
292 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- OVER
Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5
287 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$101.38Jun 14, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$110.26Jun 14, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$100.28Jun 14, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$66.44Jun 13, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$102.34Jun 13, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva$117.52Jun 6, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva$100.45Jun 6, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva$54.14Jun 6, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva$102.19Jun 6, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca$101.68Jun 2, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca$20.67May 31, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca$16.58May 31, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca$101.71May 31, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$102.55May 30, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?$20.55May 30, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?$63.63May 30, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?$100.32May 30, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alexander Zverev$102.24May 24, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 24?$103.08May 24, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?$2.10May 24, 15:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $93.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 19:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 20:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.