Envious-Causeway
0x8d3869d1bb2f3ca3f6b7b6fdac026a9e057c0397
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-54.64
Realised
$-8.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $104,000 on December 16?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on December 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
512 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
449 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
255 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 16?
219 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?
207 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?$6.36Feb 3, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$6.36Feb 3, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$4.21Jan 14, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$4.22Jan 14, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$199.21Jan 12, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$190.02Jan 8, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$190.02Jan 8, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$213.48Jan 6, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAWS service disrupted by January 31?$5.00Jan 6, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 6, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$5.00Jan 6, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jan 6, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$4.08Dec 19, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 19?$4.08Dec 19, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 19?$13.23Dec 18, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?$13.22Dec 18, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?$62.12Dec 18, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$61.46Dec 17, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$0.67Dec 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$59.65Dec 16, 15:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $33.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 19:46 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 17:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".