Sane-Cradle-Ozone
0x8d40ad6b17fc4b4dcedfa3e7641bedccc747a874
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$151.35
Total PnL
$-103.28
Realised
$-4.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
171 shares @ 56.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$64.84
$-30.71
- NO
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?
50 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$42.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
19 shares @ 44.2¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.21
$-0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 5?
13 shares @ 69.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$7.67
$-1.30
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
50 shares @ 23.7¢·now 13.6¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$6.80
$-5.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 5?
14 shares @ 28.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$5.60
$1.78
- NO
Will "Little Brother" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
20 shares @ 14.3¢·now 14.8¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$2.96
$0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 5?
8 shares @ 29.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$2.91
$0.63
- YES
Will Jake Piseno record the fastest shot at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.39
$-1.59
- NO
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?
57 shares @ 30.4¢·now 2.7¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.54
$-15.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jake Piseno record the fastest shot at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?$15.59Jul 4, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 5?$9.11Jul 4, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Piseno record the fastest shot at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?$14.92Jul 4, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$3.54Jul 4, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$8.31Jul 4, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?$39.85Jul 4, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?$2.15Jul 4, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Little Brother" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$2.86Jul 4, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 5?$1.48Jul 4, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 5?$1.96Jul 4, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by July 31?$4.74Jul 4, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 5?$10.95Jul 4, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$13.67Jul 4, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in July?$25.20Jul 4, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 5?$0.39Jul 4, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?$25.03Jul 4, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in July?$28.06Jul 4, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 5?$13.38Jul 4, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?$0.29Jul 4, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 5?$1.82Jul 4, 01:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 20:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 04:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.