Wallet digest

active

Activity score

54/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$11.89

Total PnL

$-327.33

Realised

$-4.00

Win rate

33%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 11

YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026
$10.64
$0.64
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$1.26
$0.21
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
142 shares @ 69.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-98.90
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
111 shares @ 69.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-77.14
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
90 shares @ 81.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-73.57
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
47 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-22.64
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
38 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-19.04
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
32 shares @ 62.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-19.73
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
19 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-11.87
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
5 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-0.68

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 04:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$2.00Feb 15, 04:16 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$20.00Feb 15, 03:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$20.00Feb 15, 03:35 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$16.07Feb 15, 03:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$2.00Feb 15, 03:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$20.00Feb 15, 03:33 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$22.49Feb 15, 03:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$20.00Feb 15, 03:13 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$26.17Feb 15, 01:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$23.33Feb 15, 01:18 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$23.33Feb 15, 01:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$12.56Feb 15, 01:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$7.00Feb 15, 01:02 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$7.28Feb 15, 00:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$4.00Feb 15, 00:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$3.00Feb 15, 00:57 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$19.34Feb 15, 00:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$18.39Feb 15, 00:54 UTC
TRADESELLWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.04Feb 14, 17:36 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry64 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk71 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 44
Avg trade size: $11.06
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 14, 16:54 UTC
Last active: Feb 15, 04:16 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:25:06 UTC·src:Polymarket Data