Quixotic-Ptarmigan
0x8d4a76da6c185b53de6a4f7d389cf5b2ed937714
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.11
Total PnL
$-6.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.90
$-3.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
814 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.00Mar 3, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$3.32Mar 2, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$2.00Mar 2, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$5.00Mar 2, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Mar 2, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.88Feb 28, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Feb 28, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?$2.02Feb 28, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile launch by February 14?$2.74Feb 28, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$3.08Feb 28, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Feb 11, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$2.00Feb 5, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?$2.00Jan 29, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile launch by February 14?$2.00Jan 29, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.00Jan 29, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$3.00Jan 16, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $2.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 13:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".