Definitive-Chest
0x8d51110400096eb04e4a435fc24c87b78f6b1bae
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$403.89
Total PnL
$-23.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?
402 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$401.84
$1.21
- YES
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
30 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
30 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?$400.63Feb 14, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Feb 14, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 14, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$2.02Feb 14, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?$400.40Feb 14, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$2.00Jan 29, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?$400.00Jan 29, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$1.02Jan 29, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$30.00Jan 29, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$360.72Jan 29, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$360.00Dec 30, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$1.00Dec 30, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$1.00Dec 30, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$7.80Dec 30, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$5.01Dec 30, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$15.60Dec 30, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$417.61Dec 30, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$415.52Nov 10, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$415.52Nov 10, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$414.27Oct 20, 13:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $184.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 14:37 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 12:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.