Second-Hand-Heartbeat
0x8d55c7657b776501472fc810f8581c53391bb343
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-49.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 27?
202 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.63
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on January 28?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 25?
200 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit 2100 (LOW) in March?
180 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on March 24?
179 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 4PM ET
146 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 12AM ET
136 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 22?
121 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 22?
90 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 20?
87 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 17?$1.56Jul 16, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 27?$79.96Jun 27, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 27?$77.72Jun 27, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?$1.55May 31, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 24?$2.00May 23, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$78.07May 23, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$76.66May 22, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 12?$45.28May 13, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 1?$190.33May 7, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 19?$225.71Apr 27, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 20?$2.89Apr 20, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 19?$223.90Apr 18, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of April 13 2026?$233.22Apr 18, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of April 13 2026?$231.35Apr 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 15?$1.56Apr 14, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 12?$2.77Apr 11, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 28?$229.33Apr 11, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 1?$0.03Mar 31, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 1?$0.29Mar 31, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 1?$187.34Mar 31, 23:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $75.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 22:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.