Noteworthy-Numeracy
0x8d5622b691462f15b26d9d21868d5953f06e5822
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-336.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?
4165 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-99.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 2?
3875 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 2?
2533 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
1460 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-28.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 2?
1034 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
1005 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?
713 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-49.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
686 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 2?
459 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
95 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.01Mar 3, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$19.13Mar 3, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$19.41Mar 3, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$19.43Mar 3, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$19.43Mar 3, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$18.27Mar 1, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$18.56Mar 1, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$18.48Mar 1, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 1?$18.48Mar 1, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.93Mar 1, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.93Mar 1, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$0.00Mar 1, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$49.64Mar 1, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$50.00Mar 1, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 2?$9.64Mar 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 2?$30.00Mar 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 2?$30.00Mar 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 2?$30.00Mar 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 2?$49.94Mar 1, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 1?$50.00Mar 1, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $19.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 16:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.