0x8d5646f081d2015c0c996538e13550403e27b7f7
0x8d5646f081d2015c0c996538e13550403e27b7f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$59.10
Total PnL
$-17.26
Realised
$-27.01
Win rate
0%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
8 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$8.41
$4.12
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 10AM ET
8 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$8.41
$4.12
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$5.66
$2.77
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$5.61
$2.75
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$5.61
$2.75
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
5 shares @ 50.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$5.06
$2.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$4.92
$2.41
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$2.80
$1.37
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$2.80
$1.37
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$2.80
$1.37
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 17, 10AM ET$44.54Mar 15, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$44.54Mar 15, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$45.45Mar 15, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 17, 10AM ET$50.00Mar 15, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$50.00Mar 15, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$50.00Mar 15, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$22.27Mar 15, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$22.27Mar 15, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 17, 10AM ET$22.27Mar 15, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$22.73Mar 15, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$22.27Mar 15, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$25.00Mar 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$25.00Mar 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 17, 10AM ET$25.00Mar 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$25.00Mar 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$25.00Mar 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$44.54Mar 15, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$44.95Mar 15, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$44.54Mar 15, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$44.95Mar 15, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $33.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.