Apprehensive-Export
0x8d56ac8bac90a72d3b199dcf79c729ca4b5cec45
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-928.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$5.00
$2.80
- NO
Will anyone say "Genocide" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$5.00
$2.60
- YES
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?
31148 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-916.59
- NO
US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?
25 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Taylor Swift hold 6 or more spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?
20 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?
10 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 44.5 and 44.9 on October 24 2025?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?
5 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.34
- UP
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?$1.34Oct 22, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?$1.65Oct 22, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?$2.20Oct 22, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.60Oct 22, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) say "Tariff" during earnings call?$0.42Oct 22, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?$1.70Oct 22, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift hold 6 or more spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?$3.20Oct 22, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 44.5 and 44.9 on October 24 2025?$1.10Oct 22, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.45Oct 22, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?$1.18Oct 22, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VVD win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?$3.30Oct 22, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Genocide" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?$2.40Oct 22, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$17.05Apr 8, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$306.51Apr 2, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$101.28Mar 27, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$102.60Mar 18, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$310.24Mar 18, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$78.98Mar 18, 08:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $52.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 08:35 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 22, 09:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".