Celebrated-Divide
0x8d57fa5b8c130877e40c985494d532aa4ff29c4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$10.06
Total PnL
$4.90
Realised
$-1.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?
8 shares @ 3.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$8.46
$8.13
- YES
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration?
2 shares @ 20.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$1.59
$1.26
- YES
Will the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?
208 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Trump get 74-76m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
50 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
16 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.16
- YES
Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship?
8 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
Will Steve Bannon be a member of the Trump administration?
7 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
6 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.27
- NO
Will Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration?
5 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.10Jan 18, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?$0.00Jan 10, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Republican candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%? $0.00Jan 10, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMCA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)$0.00Jan 10, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump get 74-76m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.00Jan 10, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?$0.00Jan 10, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?$1.04Dec 19, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? $0.33Dec 14, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win the NFC Championship?$0.22Dec 8, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration? $0.20Dec 8, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Bannon be a member of the Trump administration? $0.25Dec 4, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?$0.33Nov 29, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.16Nov 25, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%? $0.21Nov 25, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.27Nov 25, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)$0.36Nov 24, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump get 74-76m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.11Nov 22, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?$0.19Nov 22, 17:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $0.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 01:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".