Studious-Subconscious
0x8d587b824ae065e716711328e56ef1926f931a2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$9.55
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5PM ET
2091 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-283.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8PM ET
1133 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-370.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
666 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-155.07
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
650 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
524 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
491 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-187.56
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
363 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-109.80
- WIZARDS
Pistons vs. Wizards
293 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-23.48
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
268 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-18.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3PM ET
254 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-113.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.09Jun 12, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.82Jun 12, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$3.11Jun 12, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$2.10Jun 2, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$2.07Jun 2, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$2.07Jun 2, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$9.39Jun 2, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$10.06Jun 2, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.13Jun 2, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$9.68Jun 2, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.06Jun 2, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.05Jun 2, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.06Jun 2, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$0.00Jun 2, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$7.92Jun 2, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.07Jun 2, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.07Jun 2, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$0.00May 28, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.04May 28, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$3.11May 28, 12:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 12:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.