Loose-Semester
0x8d6940fd35e0ccd292b9a1ada7e169e309cb61ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$12.10
Total PnL
$-5.70
Realised
$-1.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in December 2025?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$6.59
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in December 2025?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$3.17
$0.00
- NO
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Ordinary - Alex Warren be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
1922 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in December 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in December 2025?$279.16Dec 15, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in December 2025?$286.30Dec 12, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in December 2025?$262.94Dec 12, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in December 2025?$266.60Dec 12, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Khamenei talk before July?$1.05Dec 12, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before August?$1.54Dec 12, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal before July?$2.28Dec 12, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ordinary - Alex Warren be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$2.00Dec 12, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Khamenei talk before July?$1.00Jun 21, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before July?$2.00Jun 21, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$2.00Jun 21, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before August?$1.00Jun 21, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBird flu pandemic before August 2025?$2.11Jun 21, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon buy Lyft before July?$1.09Jun 21, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. take over Gaza before July?$1.03Jun 21, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMBird flu declared public health emergency before April?$1.01Jun 21, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMDOGE prosecutes US Treasury?$1.19Jun 21, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEM100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April?$2.02Jun 21, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill AS Roma win the Serie A?$0.00Jun 21, 02:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $30.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 04:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".