Obvious-Sleet
0x8d6e9fc04562ff4b19cabb0701f8c8c4bdd96a3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$92.73
Total PnL
$-956.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1091 shares @ 22.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$92.73
$-147.27
- YES
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
5095 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-634.99
- YES
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?
2561 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
831 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-108.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in his first 100 days?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$10.00Dec 2, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$220.00Nov 27, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$20.00Nov 26, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$108.00Mar 13, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with MrBeast in his first 100 days?$1.00Feb 26, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$70.00Feb 23, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$55.00Feb 23, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$555.00Feb 23, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Feb 23, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $116.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 10:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".