Costly-Playground
0x8d7520f1ff83a64bda9c544d7c474710997f0c74
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$33.24
Total PnL
$-5.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
10 shares @ 93.7¢·now 96.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$9.63
$0.26
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.83
$0.16
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.92
$0.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.53
$-0.02
- NO
Will Donald Trump dance on June 16, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.7¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.38
$-1.62
- NO
Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.57Jun 14, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on June 16, 2026?$5.00Jun 12, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$5.06Jun 12, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump dance on June 9, 2026?$15.00Jun 12, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump dance on June 11, 2026?$0.54Jun 11, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump dance on June 11, 2026?$4.00Jun 11, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump dance on June 11, 2026?$10.00Jun 11, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on June 11, 2026?$14.28Jun 10, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on June 9, 2026?$14.70Jun 9, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.91Jun 9, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.81Jun 8, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?$4.70Jun 7, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.70Jun 7, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.70Jun 7, 21:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $6.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 21:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.