Excited-Parole
0x8d7d05dbefb5a5b104026c7d9a74c3f333820c44
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill another driver finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$1.00Sep 6, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eva Copa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00Sep 6, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$1.02Sep 6, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East?$1.02Sep 6, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?$1.00Sep 6, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4AM ET$1.02Sep 6, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 18, 4AM ET$1.00Jul 18, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4AM ET$1.00Jul 18, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high by June 30?$1.00Jul 18, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$1.02Jul 18, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?$1.00Jun 25, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by June 30?$1.00Jun 25, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East?$1.00Jun 25, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eva Copa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00Jun 25, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another driver finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$1.00Jun 25, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$1.00Jun 25, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$1.00Jun 25, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$0.00Jun 25, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Wyoming Presidential Election?$4.84Jun 25, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMLabour wins the most seats in next UK election? $5.02Jun 25, 09:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
4/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 6, 14:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.