Firm-Papa
0x8d855872c70dd4ae8e56b09792e483582dbec7bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$83.59
Total PnL
$-26.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$17.24
$12.24
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$11.49
$1.49
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.66
$0.66
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.30
$-1.70
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.95
$0.95
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.73
$0.73
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.70
$1.70
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.87
$0.87
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- NO
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.52
$0.52
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.